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BGonline.org Forums
Position of the Day 07-24-26 - Even more odd cubes
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: Position of the Day 07-24-26 - Even more odd cubes (Stick)
Date: Monday, 10 August 2026, at 12:01 a.m.
Ref-pos: If Blue is closed out with 3 on the ace and 2 on the *deuce*, AND White has perfect bearoff structure, Blue will win ~59% cubeless.
Here Blue isn't even closed out, and in fact is shooting at two blots. Obviously that's a significant plus for Blue (relatively speaking), but Blue owning the 3-pt instead of the 2-pt is a minus.
Blue does have a gauntlet to run, and that's after he enters which he's only 5::4 favorite to do this turn.
IMO this is a solid Take for White, my biggest concern (and yours, I suspect) as White is the gammon chance. 32 and 55 are Blue's jokers, but there's still ground to cover and Blue enters both hit checkers immediately 4/9 of the time.
My decision:
NR+T.
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