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OLM Tues. Aug. 26th

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Tuesday, 26 August 2008, at 3:24 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Tues. Aug. 26th (Stick)

Let's count the shots if we P&P 2/1*/0(2):

Stick fans or enters on our acpoint -- 9 + 11 = 20.

We leave a shot -- (all non-doublet combos of {6,5,4} plus 6-2, 5-2, 4-2) = 12.

He hits the shot -- call it 12.

5/9 * 1/3 * 1/3 = 5/81 or about 6%. Figure he wins half of those games. That's 3% losses. Don't know the gammon price but if $ we would need an extra 6% gammons compared to simply making the 4-prime. Can we do that?

Could be close. If it looks close, rip.

2/1*/0(2).

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