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And the rollout says...

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Monday, 1 September 2008, at 3:23 p.m.

In Response To: DMP vs MCG to end the sickest match ever (neilkaz)

My 15/8 was correct by lots since Matt isn't breaking his board next turn if I break mine now and he has considerable work to do if he hits now with two behind a 5 prime.

The score (after 0 games) is: MCG 0, Neil 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Move number 4: Neil to play 43


'2X2X3X2X2X ' ' '2O ' '

2X3O4O2O2O2O ' ' ' ' '2X

Pip counts: MCG 118, Neil 78
Position ID: ttuAATDubQMYAA Match ID: cAkuAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 15/8 +0.2508
0.62540.25240.0362-0.37460.08090.0026 +0.2508 +0.2508
0.00150.00770.0035-0.00150.00470.0008 0.0031 0.0031
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 831641863 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 6/3 6/2 +0.1412 ( -0.1095)
0.57060.24690.0251-0.42940.12080.0088 +0.1412 +0.1412
0.00140.00810.0027-0.00140.00490.0019 0.0028 0.0028
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 831641863 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 0 15/11 5/2 -0.3527 ( -0.6034)
0.3237 0.0861 0.0022 - 0.6763 0.3043 0.0166
4 0 15/11 6/3 -0.3531 ( -0.6039)
0.3234 0.0860 0.0020 - 0.6766 0.2766 0.0152
5 0 6/2 5/2 -0.4644 ( -0.7151)
0.2678 0.0617 0.0010 - 0.7322 0.3087 0.0168

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