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NFL for Chuck & Zeus

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Monday, 22 September 2008, at 4:39 p.m.

In Response To: NFL for Chuck & Zeus (Gregg Cattanach)

We are working on absolute outcome prediction capability although it's not clear we want to make that info public.

ZEUS can make decisions in any situation. We've previously concentrated on 4th downs, kickoffs, and points after touchdown decisions because there is less "element of surprise" there. I.e. when a team lines up to kick (extra point, field, goal, punt) it's a pretty clear indication to the defense what they are going to do. But on first and ten, 'anticipation' by the defense can be a huge factor.

ZEUS was written to aid teams. The postgame/postseason analysis is a sidelight. What we really want is for a team to buy ZEUS and then a LOT of effort could go into forming their offensive strategy for many situations. That is where the power of ZEUS really comes out, but it's going to take some $. Until we get that we can't "quit the day job" so we spend our time doing less sophisticated analysis.

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