[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

More swiss tournaments, best in three shorter matches and clocks

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Friday, 10 October 2008, at 7:46 p.m.

In Response To: More swiss tournaments, best in three shorter matches and clocks (Matt Cohn-Geier)

Some possibly relevant data:

The table below shows win percentages for various match lengths for the 20 players currently at the top of the DBgF rating system. Non-Danish players and BGO or GU readers will recognize the names in boldface. Matches are all rated matches since January 1, 1999. It seems likely that in the majority of these matches, the named players were higher rated than their opponents -- by how much, however, is unclear.

Player ML=5 ML=5 ML=7 ML=7 ML=9 ML=9 ML=11ML=11ML=17ML=17
Win %RecordWin % Record Win % Record Win %Record Win %Record
Henrik Løber 52.4%11-10 55.4%164-132 56.1% 46-36 56.3%18-14 63.1%94-55
Martin Kruse Olsen 42.9%9-12 60.3%225-148 57.4% 62-46 50.0%11-11 58.6%75-53
Andreas Christian Olsen 48.9%23-24 58.0%141-102 53.3% 72-63 78.3%18-5 57.0%69-52
Sander Lylloff 41.7%5-7 53.6%125-108 51.0% 74-71 65.0% 13-7 63.7%109-62
Thomas Jespersen 50.0%11-11 59.6%68-46 64.5% 49-27 50.0%6-6 58.6%92-65
Mikael Jensen 52.9%45-40 62.3%160-97 63.8% 81-46 53.3%24-21 69.3%133-59
Torben Sørensen 71.4%5-2 54.7%158-131 72.1% 62-24 60.7%17-11 52.1%37-34
Thomas W. Hansen 44.4%4-5 47.4%27-30 54.1% 53-45 57.1%4-3 62.7%111-66
Lasse H. Madsen 72.7%8-3 62.2%51-31 50.0% 26-26 50.0%2-2 60.6%83-54
Morten Johansen 33.3%4-8 60.1%270-179 56.1% 55-43 57.3%110-82 59.5%44-30
Lars Leth 50.0%1-1 26.7%4-11 57.1% 4-3 50.0%2-2 56.6%60-46
Taus Bøytler 63.9%53-30 55.7%470-374 50.8% 226-219 51.3%40-38 59.8%101-68
Asger Kjeldsen 52.9%9-8 55.6%89-71 54.9% 28-23 37.5%3-5 61.1%88-56
Mark Lillelund Larsen 60.0%12-8 51.9%40-37 57.6% 68-50 62.5%10-6 60.8%96-82
Harry Breuer 38.5%5-8 59.4%225-154 61.8% 155-96 54.9%50-41 56.7%76-58
Lars Bøje 57.1%4-3 57.8%104-76 52.2% 42-38 45.0%9-11 58.8%50-35
Morten Holm Lassen44.4%8-10 35.3%6-11 53.6% 15-13 53.8%7-6 63.1%70-41
Rolf Mørk Nielsen 35.7%5-9 62.2%260-158 65.1% 71-38 64.4%47-26 61.6%85-53
Carsten Simonsen 64.3%9-5 33.3%6-12 64.5% 71-39 50.0%3-3 61.1%99-63
Søren Andersen 42.1%8-11 53.6%150-130 53.5% 68-59 44.4%12-15 58.7%71-50
TOTAL 52.4%226-20557.4%2743-203856.9% 1328-100556.3%406-315 60.3%1643-1082

Probably:

  • most 5 point matches were in regional/national last chance flights; some may have been in cafe tournaments.
  • most 7 point matches were in cafe tournaments.
  • most 9 point matches were in regional/national modified Swiss main flights or knockout main or consolation flights.
  • most 11 point matches were in regional/national modified Swiss main flights or knockout main flights.
  • almost all 17 point matches were in (somewhat) rating-stratified Danish Team Tournament competition.

And so I'd guess that these players' rating advantage over their opponents would tend to be greater in the shorter matches, e.g., especially, comparing 7 pointers to 17 pointers.

A more precise statistical analysis would have to look at ratings at the time that each match was played. That data is available. Similarly, an analysis of a much larger database of results with regard to ratings, such as for matches played at a popular online server like GamesGrid RIP, might be revealing.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.