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More swiss tournaments, best in three shorter matches and clocks

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Friday, 10 October 2008, at 8:30 p.m.

In Response To: More swiss tournaments, best in three shorter matches and clocks (Daniel Murphy)

A more precise statistical analysis would have to look at ratings at the time that each match was played. That data is available. Similarly, an analysis of a much larger database of results with regard to ratings, such as for matches played at a popular online server like GamesGrid RIP, might be revealing.

This would be the best way to collect this data, analyzing a very large database like GG or FIBS. Even 5K matches can't get you stat sig. According to the table the stronger player will win more 7-pointers than 9-pointers and more 9-pointers than 11-pointers, which seems clearly wrong. That could be explained if the players were better than their competition in 7-pointers than they were in 9-pointers, but it's really not enough to draw any conclusions.

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