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RO

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 15 October 2008, at 12:43 p.m.

In Response To: Getting uglier, but still winable (Chuck Bower)

As some boogoliners found out, the key is to actually see the 6-point breaking play. After that you have a good chance of making the correct decision. But we are certainly conditioned to not break the 6-point.

The score (after 0 games) is: JellyFish 0, Player2 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Move number 8: Player2 to play 34

Pip counts: JellyFish 117, Player2 71
Position ID: tm2BYATX48wAAA Match ID: cIkxAAAAAAAA

• Player2 moves 6/3 6/2

Alert: unlucky roll! ( -0.445)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	6/3 6/2	-0.2178
			0.3911 0.1658 0.0002 - 0.6089 0.1239 0.0034 -0.2178 -0.2178 0.0033 0.0241 0.0001 - 0.0033 0.0240 0.0013 0.0065 0.0065
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			152 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 835052288 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	8/4*/1	-0.2948 ( -0.0770)
			0.3526 0.1597 0.0004 - 0.6474 0.2601 0.0150 -0.2948 -0.2948 0.0033 0.0203 0.0002 - 0.0033 0.0272 0.0047 0.0067 0.0067
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			151 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 835052288 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	8/5 6/2	-0.3167 ( -0.0988)
			0.3417 0.1021 0.0000 - 0.6583 0.2355 0.0078 -0.3167 -0.3167 0.0029 0.0150 0.0007 - 0.0029 0.0242 0.0022 0.0058 0.0058
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			151 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 835052288 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	4	8/1	-0.2840 ( -0.0662)
			0.3580 0.0520 0.0005 - 0.6420 0.1257 0.0050
			4-ply cubeful
	5	4	10/3	-0.3836 ( -0.1658)
			0.3082 0.0415 0.0003 - 0.6918 0.1026 0.0029
			4-ply cubeful
	6	0	8/4* 6/3	-0.5023 ( -0.2845)
			0.2488 0.0810 0.0010 - 0.7512 0.3942 0.0616
			0-ply cubeful [expert]
	7	0	8/5 8/4*	-0.5169 ( -0.2991)
			0.2415 0.0909 0.0013 - 0.7585 0.4103 0.0773
			0-ply cubeful [expert]
	8	0	10/6 8/5	-0.6784 ( -0.4606)
			0.1608 0.0449 0.0003 - 0.8392 0.5552 0.1430
			0-ply cubeful [expert]

Messages In This Thread

• Getting uglier, but still winable
  Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 12 October 2008, at 3:07 p.m.
  • Getting uglier, but still winable
    pontiac -- Sunday, 12 October 2008, at 3:44 p.m.
    • Getting uglier, but still winable
      likesbg -- Sunday, 12 October 2008, at 9:07 p.m.
  • Getting uglier, but still winable
    Keene -- Sunday, 12 October 2008, at 3:45 p.m.
    • Getting uglier, but still winable
      Keene -- Sunday, 12 October 2008, at 3:48 p.m.
  • Getting uglier, but still winable
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Sunday, 12 October 2008, at 6:57 p.m.
  • Getting uglier, but still winable
    lenny -- Monday, 13 October 2008, at 1:01 a.m.
    • Getting uglier, but still winable
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 13 October 2008, at 2:55 a.m.
  • Getting uglier, but still winable
    garyo -- Monday, 13 October 2008, at 5:55 a.m.
  • RO
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 15 October 2008, at 12:43 p.m.