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-3a -3a Cube Action

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 29 October 2008, at 5:03 p.m.

In Response To: -3a -3a Cube Action (Stick)

Gammonless and at this matchscore, cubeless value at takepoint is ~25%. For the 10%+-2 pips moneygame race doubling rule this is borderline take/pass. But that should correspond to 22-23% cubeless. So from a pure race standpoint this is a pass.

Does Blue gain 2-3% from the contact? His flyshots (if he gets any) are only 2/36 or 1/36 chancers. Further, some of his good racing numbers (esp. 6-6) are blocked. Finally, if Blue doesn't roll a 5-x soon his board might crunch. The one plus for Blue is that as long as he camps out on White's 4-point White won't be able to put checkers on this valuable bearoff point.

Summarizing all this doesn't give a clearcut answer. Usually the contact is worth a few percent, anyway, and even though there are some less common issues here I think there is probably enough contact vig to make this a close take.

D+T.

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