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RO worth a thousand words

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 30 October 2008, at 9:21 p.m.

In Response To: Hope you get a good editor (Stick)

Explanation: After Blue's play his Cubeless Game winning chances are 24.9% and his Match Winning chances are 39.9%. Compare 24.9% to "~25%" and 39.9% to 40.0% (G-11 MWC at 3-away, 2-away).

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0 (match to 3 points)

Move number 8: Blue to play 23


 ' ' '1X3X3X2X2X1X '1X6O

 ' ' '1O3O4O '1O ' ' '2X

Pip counts: White 113, Blue 129
Position ID: 6G5LBgDonuAHAA Match ID: UQltAAAAAAAA

• Blue moves 13/11 13/10

# Ply Move MWC
1 R 13/11 13/10 39.936%
0.24880.00000.0000-0.75120.00010.0000 37.399% 39.936%
0.00030.00000.0000-0.00030.00010.0000 0.013% 0.027%
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1268 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863853695 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 2 13/10 5/3 39.811% ( -0.125%)
0.2430 0.0008 0.0000 - 0.7570 0.0024 0.0000
2-ply cubeful, noise 1 (nd)
3 2 13/11 6/3 39.779% ( -0.157%)
0.2425 0.0008 0.0000 - 0.7575 0.0024 0.0000
2-ply cubeful, noise 1 (nd)
4 2 13/11 5/2 39.689% ( -0.247%)
0.2411 0.0007 0.0000 - 0.7589 0.0027 0.0000
2-ply cubeful, noise 1 (nd)
5 2 13/10 8/6 39.641% ( -0.295%)
0.2404 0.0010 0.0000 - 0.7596 0.0029 0.0000
2-ply cubeful, noise 1 (nd)
6 2 13/8 39.639% ( -0.297%)
0.2401 0.0008 0.0000 - 0.7599 0.0023 0.0000
2-ply cubeful, noise 1 (nd)
7 2 13/11 8/5 39.552% ( -0.384%)
0.2390 0.0010 0.0000 - 0.7610 0.0031 0.0000
2-ply cubeful, noise 1 (nd)
8 2 13/10 4/2 39.520% ( -0.416%)
0.2385 0.0009 0.0000 - 0.7615 0.0030 0.0000
2-ply cubeful, noise 1 (nd)
9 0 13/11 4/1 38.648% ( -1.288%)
0.2249 0.0007 0.0000 - 0.7751 0.0044 0.0000
0-ply cubeful, noise 1 (nd)
10 0 8/3 38.602% ( -1.335%)
0.2235 0.0008 0.0000 - 0.7765 0.0028 0.0000
0-ply cubeful, noise 1 (nd)

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