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BGonline.org Forums
OTB and rollout
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: 42 is easier to play in the opening ? (neilkaz)
Date: Thursday, 4 December 2008, at 2:00 p.m.
OTB I was too concerned about the extra shot number I have immediately if I bear off two checkers and these are enough extra shots that I felt they outweighed my extra gammons. I didn't give enough weight to the fact that if I rip off two checkers I have many checkers off and it is rather hard to lose any how.
Also by playing "safe" I remain at more risk later since I often remain with several checkers on the 2 pt while Chris, if he rolls small stays there with a checker and hopes I blot with an ace, or worse yet, coup classic when I have 3 pieces left.
Thus it's clear to rip two here and by a lot. OTB I rolled 11 after my wimpy error and won the match with a G soon.
The score (after 8 games) is: cyep 8, neilkaz 7 (match to 11 points)
Move number 60: neilkaz to play 42
Pip counts: cyep 100, neilkaz 21
Position ID: brcDADDeBQAAAA Match ID: QQlqAYAAOAAA
• neilkaz moves 4/2 3/off
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 4/off 2/off +2.1191
0.9343 0.6605 0.4290 - 0.0657 0.0000 0.0000 +2.1360 +2.1191 0.0015 0.0009 0.0075 - 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0035 0.0042 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1317 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 807353940 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • ?? R 4/2 3/off +2.0248 ( -0.0942)
0.9318 0.6145 0.2761 - 0.0682 0.0000 0.0000 +2.0426 +2.0248 0.0015 0.0013 0.0071 - 0.0015 0.0000 0.0000 0.0045 0.0055 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1317 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 807353940 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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