[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Thursday, 15 March 2007, at 5:48 a.m.

In Response To: January Chouette Action (Stick)

Mary was on roll here and she did double if I remember correctly. The pip count is easy to see here, and it's what pushes the double over the top. There's also the obvious yet important advantage of made 5 pt. in addition to the bar point but the market losing sequence would be any running number + miss. [there are other market losing sequences, but I count this as the most standard]
Money Game
Blue on roll. Cube Action?
144
133
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

Cube action equity
Rollout Money equity: 0.488
0.4% 18.8% 67.9% 32.1% 6.0% 0.1%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.488 ±0.013, - live cube no double: 0.705 ±0.035, - live cube double take: 0.727 ±0.041. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 25644 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
Evaluations
1. Double, take 0.742
2. No double 0.724 (-0.018)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.258)
Proper cube action: Double, take
Live cube
1. Double, take 0.727
2. No double 0.705 (-0.022)
3. Double, pass 1.000 (+0.273)
Proper cube action: Double, take

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.