| |
BGonline.org Forums
Snowie's error rate ranges and names revisited
Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier In Response To: Snowie's error rate ranges and names revisited (Daniel Murphy)
Date: Monday, 8 December 2008, at 9:17 a.m.
Your guess may be as good as mine here.
What percentage of rated chess players earn a Grandmaster title?
It wouldn't surprise me if only one in 5,000 FIDE rated players are GMs. There are a lot of chess players throughout the world.
How many tournament-playing backgammoners are there?
No idea, I don't even know how many tournament (open?)-playing players there are in the US, let alone in the world.
On the other hand, perhaps there is no reason to think that GM ability poses the same challenge in both games, such that a similar percentage of players are capable of reaching the standard.
No idea here. They are different games. Maybe Stick was confused by my seeming cynicism about the potential for chess players (esp. relatively older ones) to become GMs or better, but I don't share the same cynicism for backgammon. Particularly since it seems to happen all the time anyway in backgammon.
Another approach would be to decide on what the backgammon equivalent of GM norms would would be, and how many backgammon players have earned them.
This is interesting. Backgammon is difficult in that results can just be short-term variance, but on the other hand, if you aren't playing for results, then what are you playing for? Not sure if there is a good way to measure this. Ideally you would have a rating system or a percentage of matches won or some such but then different pools of players can't be compared.
| |
BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.