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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Two Questions in One (Stick)
Date: Sunday, 21 December 2008, at 1:55 a.m.
Rolled out a ridiculous number of trials but I figure in a couple of years when I get around to move 5 this will already be in my collection, one down, hundreds of thousands to go.
The sequence I came up with was what many of you did:
61P-54S-51H-53D-44?
Where 53D is a .044 error on 2 ply.
John's sequence of 61P-53D-51H-31-44? has 53D as a .074 error on 2 ply so for the sake of argument we all win and John loses! He did redeem himself being the only person to pick GNU's ever so slight preference so far. What this does illustrate is how hard it will be to tackle 4th or 5th roll positions without sometimes duplicating rollouts unknowingly. It can even happen on second or third roll, though that's rare, and usually you can think of that sequence a lot easier.
user 155
gnubg 174 Position ID: 4PPEASHg7eAAWA Match ID: cAkSAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R bar/21 13/5*/1* +0.1288
0.5242 0.1808 0.0080 - 0.4758 0.1373 0.0080 +0.0918 +0.1288 0.0003 0.0003 0.0001 - 0.0003 0.0003 0.0001 0.0009 0.0022 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 46656 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 807195572 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R bar/21 24/20(2) 13/9 +0.1230 ( -0.0058)
0.5264 0.1212 0.0053 - 0.4736 0.0963 0.0033 +0.0797 +0.1230 0.0003 0.0003 0.0001 - 0.0003 0.0003 0.0001 0.0007 0.0018 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 46656 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 807195572 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R bar/21 24/20 13/5* +0.0817 ( -0.0470)
0.5212 0.1465 0.0093 - 0.4788 0.1470 0.0090 +0.0422 +0.0817 0.0012 0.0014 0.0009 - 0.0012 0.0011 0.0005 0.0039 0.0092 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 3888 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 807195572 and quasi-random dice Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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