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Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 3 January 2009, at 3:29 a.m.

In Response To: Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb (Dan Pelton)

Rule #1 ..If you have a fast speed board and 5 checkers off, you can take. If this position is a bare pass, no one can play it well enough to expect to cost you money in a prop anyhow.

The score (after 0 games) is: Opp 0, neilkaz 0

Move number 3: neilkaz on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Opp 38, neilkaz 57
Position ID: 3wMAANp2dwAAAA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAA

• neilkaz doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5585
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.9997
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.0003
3.	No double	+0.9656	-0.0341
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7792 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2208 0.0000 0.0000 +0.5585 +0.9656 Standard error 0.0002 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0002 0.0000 0.0000 0.0004 0.0011 Player Opp owns 2-cube 0.7802 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2198 0.0000 0.0000 +1.1208 +0.9997 Standard error 0.0002 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0002 0.0000 0.0000 0.0008 0.0012
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
6108 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 812943680 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
  Dan Pelton -- Saturday, 3 January 2009, at 2:03 a.m.
  • Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 3 January 2009, at 3:29 a.m.
  • Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 3 January 2009, at 4:19 a.m.
  • Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
    Stick -- Saturday, 3 January 2009, at 9:49 a.m.
    • Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 3 January 2009, at 10:27 a.m.
      • Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
        Dan Pelton -- Saturday, 3 January 2009, at 10:39 p.m.
  • Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
    Klaus Evers -- Sunday, 4 January 2009, at 1:58 p.m.
    • Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
      Dan Pelton -- Monday, 5 January 2009, at 12:57 a.m.
      • Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 5 January 2009, at 2:52 a.m.