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Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 3 January 2009, at 4:19 a.m.

In Response To: Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb (Dan Pelton)

Rule #2...here you have a pass, but it is a close pass, and Blue will likely give up a bit playing it. I'd pass for money vs a WC player, but in general the spares aren't perfectly places and you won't lose much taking this situation if at all if Blue has less than perfect spares.

The score (after 0 games) is: Opp 0, neilkaz 0

Move number 4: neilkaz on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Opp 52, neilkaz 57
Position ID: AwAAbNvdAQAAAA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAA

• neilkaz doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0279)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5785
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.0000
2.	Double, take	+1.0384	+0.0105
3.	No double	+1.0279	+0.0000
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.7892 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2108 0.0000 0.0000 +0.5785 +1.0279 Standard error 0.0004 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0004 0.0000 0.0000 0.0008 0.0021 Player Opp owns 2-cube 0.7901 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.2099 0.0000 0.0000 +1.1604 +1.0384 Standard error 0.0004 0.0000 0.0000 - 0.0004 0.0000 0.0000 0.0016 0.0021
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
6991 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 812943680 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
  Dan Pelton -- Saturday, 3 January 2009, at 2:03 a.m.
  • Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 3 January 2009, at 3:29 a.m.
  • Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 3 January 2009, at 4:19 a.m.
  • Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
    Stick -- Saturday, 3 January 2009, at 9:49 a.m.
    • Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Saturday, 3 January 2009, at 10:27 a.m.
      • Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
        Dan Pelton -- Saturday, 3 January 2009, at 10:39 p.m.
  • Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
    Klaus Evers -- Sunday, 4 January 2009, at 1:58 p.m.
    • Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
      Dan Pelton -- Monday, 5 January 2009, at 12:57 a.m.
      • Closed Board Cube Decision Rule of Thumb
        Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 5 January 2009, at 2:52 a.m.