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rollout

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 29 March 2007, at 6:27 p.m.

In Response To: vs. Keene at Midwest, #4 (Chuck Bower)

The score (after 0 games) is: White 2, Blue 1 (match to 5 points)

Move number 9: Blue to play 41


3X4X4X1X2O2X '1X1O ' '1O

 '2O '2O2O2O1O ' '1O1O '

Pip counts: White 47, Blue 131
Position ID: 914mAABmW5QIAw Match ID: UQmmACAACAAA

• Blue doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0743)! [bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity -0.5432(Money: -0.6079)
Cubeful equities:
1.No double -0.3288
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +1.3288
3.Double, take -0.4031 -0.0743
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (5.3%)
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Player Blue owns 2-cube0.28650.03680.0015-0.71350.21830.0009 -0.5432 -0.3288
Standard error0.00090.00160.0005-0.00090.00220.0003 0.0029 0.0036
Player White owns 4-cube0.30690.04160.0052-0.69310.50000.0007 -0.4031 -0.4031
Standard error0.00140.00490.0032-0.00140.01960.0007 0.0069 0.0069
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
966 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1059311744 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.5 (min. 432 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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