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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Tuesday, 24 March 2009, at 1:52 a.m.

In Response To: A holding game recube decision from Phil (neilkaz)

GNU 2 ply doesn't think this is good enough to recube (lots of shot potential and awkward 5's, but the rollout agrees with my assessment that Ray's recube was correct.

The score (after 0 games) is: Phil S 2, Ray F 2 (match to 9 points)

Move number 5: Ray F on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Phil S 128, Ray F 78
Position ID: 2jYFBQybuT0AAA Match ID: UQkgASAAEAAA

• Ray F doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.4727	(Money: +0.4742)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.8407
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.1593
3.	No double	+0.8021	-0.0386
Proper cube action:		Redouble, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Ray F owns 2-cube 0.7179 0.0655 0.0014 - 0.2821 0.0268 0.0017 +0.4727 +0.8021 Standard error 0.0007 0.0013 0.0004 - 0.0007 0.0010 0.0007 0.0019 0.0036 Player Phil S owns 4-cube 0.7235 0.0686 0.0014 - 0.2765 0.0289 0.0031 +0.9873 +0.8407 Standard error 0.0008 0.0018 0.0024 - 0.0008 0.0013 0.0010 0.0040 0.0048
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2051 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 820807414 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• A holding game recube decision from Phil
  neilkaz -- Monday, 23 March 2009, at 1:13 a.m.
  • A holding game recube decision from Phil
    dc-ohio -- Monday, 23 March 2009, at 3:06 a.m.
  • A holding game recube decision from Phil
    Christian Munk-Christensen -- Monday, 23 March 2009, at 9:44 a.m.
  • Rollout
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 24 March 2009, at 1:52 a.m.