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Would you?

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 6 April 2007, at 9:27 p.m.

In Response To: At normal money like scores... (neilkaz)

Ok, it's only 15552 games, but it is with your live cube. (the cubeless one is posted on my site with very similar results so I saw no need to keep going with this) If you have your heart set on a longer live cube rollout, let me know, I can extend it, but at this point with all the opening 64 rollouts I have, I'd say wait for Snowie 5 til I redo it.

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 8/2 6/2 0.014
1.1% 16.1% 49.7% 50.3% 14.5% 0.7%
Live cube rollout: 0.021
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.013 ±0.004, - live cube: 0.021 ±0.007. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 15552 games (equiv. 491358 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
2 R 24/18 13/9 0.012 (-0.002)
0.7% 13.8% 50.4% 49.6% 13.8% 0.6%
Live cube rollout: 0.009
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.009 ±0.004, - live cube: 0.009 ±0.008. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 15552 games (equiv. 474869 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.
3 R 24/14 0.002 (-0.012)
0.6% 12.3% 50.5% 49.5% 13.5% 0.5%
Live cube rollout: 0.010
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.001 ±0.004, - live cube: 0.010 ±0.007. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 15552 games (equiv. 511512 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, random seed, with race database.

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