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two RO's down, two to go

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 10 June 2009, at 5:02 p.m.

In Response To: four questions for one GG position (Chuck Bower)

One of the remainders is close after ~1600 trials; the other I just started this AM.

The score (after 0 games) is: white 3, blue 1 (match to 5 points)

Move number 3: blue to play 46

white	157
blue	159
Position ID: 4HPwBSCMZ/ABMA Match ID: cAm6ADAACAAA

• blue doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.3266	(Money: +0.1216)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.6846
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.3154
3.	No double	+0.6456	-0.0390
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.5424 0.1834 0.0164 - 0.4576 0.1423 0.0207 +0.3266 +0.6456 Standard error 0.0010 0.0010 0.0012 - 0.0010 0.0025 0.0014 0.0037 0.0058 Player white owns 2-cube 0.5423 0.1896 0.0197 - 0.4577 0.1638 0.0271 +0.6846 +0.6846 Standard error 0.0011 0.0011 0.0014 - 0.0011 0.0031 0.0016 0.0068 0.0068
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5144 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 805999488 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

The score (after 0 games) is: white 3, blue 1 (match to 5 points)

Move number 5: blue to play 46

white	157
blue	159
Position ID: 4HPwBSCMZ/ABMA Match ID: QQm6ADAACAAA

• blue moves 24/18 13/9

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	8/2 6/2	+0.3553
			0.4994 0.1783 0.0134 - 0.5006 0.1713 0.0240 +0.3553 +0.3553 0.0011 0.0012 0.0012 - 0.0011 0.0036 0.0016 0.0032 0.0032
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			3850 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 817661120 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
•	2	R	24/18 13/9	+0.3375 ( -0.0178)
			0.5130 0.1558 0.0207 - 0.4870 0.1738 0.0270 +0.3375 +0.3375 0.0013 0.0012 0.0018 - 0.0013 0.0038 0.0019 0.0034 0.0034
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			3535 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 817661120 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	13/9 13/7	+0.3288 ( -0.0265)
			0.4872 0.1772 0.0142 - 0.5128 0.1963 0.0391 +0.3288 +0.3288 0.0019 0.0017 0.0016 - 0.0019 0.0057 0.0035 0.0052 0.0052
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1972 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 817661120 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	24/20 13/7	+0.3114 ( -0.0440)
			0.4930 0.1626 0.0197 - 0.5070 0.1978 0.0236 +0.3114 +0.3114 0.0031 0.0032 0.0043 - 0.0031 0.0108 0.0042 0.0087 0.0087
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			531 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 817661120 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	4	13/3	+0.3023 ( -0.0530)
			0.4882 0.1630 0.0037 - 0.5118 0.1259 0.0052
			4-ply cubeful prune

Messages In This Thread

• four questions for one GG position
  Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 9 June 2009, at 7:30 p.m.
  • four questions for one GG position
    Stick -- Tuesday, 9 June 2009, at 7:49 p.m.
  • four questions for one GG position
    Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 9 June 2009, at 8:01 p.m.
  • four questions for one GG position
    Rich Munitz -- Wednesday, 10 June 2009, at 1:22 a.m.
  • Why not make 2 pt at GS?
    joe freedman -- Wednesday, 10 June 2009, at 3:35 p.m.
  • four questions for one GG position
    Ian Shaw -- Wednesday, 10 June 2009, at 4:08 p.m.
  • two RO's down, two to go
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 10 June 2009, at 5:02 p.m.
  • Last two rollouts
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 12 June 2009, at 5:42 p.m.