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-7,-4 action

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 25 June 2009, at 4:54 p.m.

In Response To: -7,-4 action (Keene)

By my estimation/calculation, Blue needs to win about 3 of 8 games (hold White to less than 62.5%) in order to take.

I believe in the classic {52S, 55PP, fan} that trailer wins mid to high 20%'s. He gains ground from holding both the 4-point and 11-point here, but loses ground due to White's split and (to a lesser extent) White owning his own 4-point instead of his own 3-point. Does Blue gain 5-7% wins in this tradeoff? I think it's close, but my guess is 'no'.

D+P.

Messages In This Thread

• -7,-4 action
  Keene -- Thursday, 25 June 2009, at 12:25 a.m.
  • -7,-4 action
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 25 June 2009, at 12:35 a.m.
    • -7,-4 action
      pontiac -- Thursday, 25 June 2009, at 10:05 a.m.
  • -7,-4 action
    David -- Thursday, 25 June 2009, at 3:37 p.m.
  • -7,-4 action
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 25 June 2009, at 4:54 p.m.
    • Back to the chalkboard...
      Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 25 June 2009, at 4:56 p.m.
      • Back to the chalkboard...
        Keene -- Thursday, 25 June 2009, at 5:09 p.m.