[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollout of my interesting 2-2

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 26 November 2006, at 7:54 a.m.

In Response To: Moves leading up to today's cube decision (Stick)

I'm doing a mini-celebration in my own honor. 3 ply analysis had the plays as virtually interchangeable, within' .01 of each other with my move being second. The rollout shows that I rock =) My reasons for making the play were already described in my previous post.


Match to 25, tied at 0
169
142
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R bar/23 13/11(3) -0.157
0.5% 13.2% 46.0% 54.0% 16.1% 0.7%
Live cube rollout: -0.187
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.111 ±0.019, - live cube: -0.187 ±0.037. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 18636 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, seed 1, with race database.
2 R bar/23 24/18 -0.219 (-0.062)
0.6% 12.0% 45.0% 55.0% 17.7% 1.1%
Live cube rollout: -0.235
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.161 ±0.019, - live cube: -0.235 ±0.038. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 18466 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, seed 1, with race database.
3 R bar/23 24/20 13/11 -0.222 (-0.065)
0.7% 13.3% 45.2% 54.8% 19.1% 0.9%
Live cube rollout: -0.237
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.156 ±0.020, - live cube: -0.237 ±0.038. Rollout Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 18002 games), played 3-ply (precise), cube 3-ply, settlement 0.550 at 16 pts, seed 1, with race database.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.