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Definition of luck-to-skill ratio

Posted By: Tom Keith
Date: Thursday, 6 August 2009, at 12:41 a.m.

In Response To: Definition of luck-to-skill ratio (Paul Vianna)

Let's suppose a Giant is 150 Elo points higher than an average Open player and 300 points higher than an Intermediate. (These are just wild guesses.) The rating formula says:

  • a 150-point difference in an 11-point match gives the favorite 63% chance of winning the match. That works out to be 74% luck, 26% skill.

  • a 300-point difference in an 11-point match gives the favorite 76% chance of winning the match. That works out to be 48% luck, 52% skill.

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