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This doesn't look right...

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 19 August 2009, at 5:08 p.m.

In Response To: XG Rollout (Neil Robins)

Using X11 MET and these win/loss breakdowns one can deduce a 62% cube ownership equity for Brown owning a 2-cube here. This seems way too low to me.

Assuming an immediate rewhip these same numbers say the takepoint is 23.9%. Thus the immediate rewhip only makes the take an 0.4% MWC error. Brown can't regain this 0.4% by using the cube more wisely? And it's worse than that because the rollout says the error in taking is 0.05 emg already meaning (if you believe the RO) that White could win even more than 23.5% and still be correct in passing.

Messages In This Thread

• Cube action in a volatile position
  Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 18 August 2009, at 5:00 a.m.
  • Cube action in a volatile position
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 18 August 2009, at 5:11 a.m.
  • Cube action in a volatile position
    Stick -- Tuesday, 18 August 2009, at 11:45 a.m.
    • Cube action in a volatile position
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 18 August 2009, at 10:49 p.m.
      • Cube action in a volatile position
        Stick -- Tuesday, 18 August 2009, at 10:53 p.m.
    • RHR??
      Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 19 August 2009, at 4:44 p.m.
  • Cube action in a volatile position
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 19 August 2009, at 4:12 a.m.
    • Cube action in a volatile position
      John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 19 August 2009, at 5:02 a.m.
    • Cube action in a volatile position
      Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 20 August 2009, at 3:36 a.m.
  • XG Rollout
    Neil Robins -- Wednesday, 19 August 2009, at 5:52 a.m.
    • This doesn't look right...
      Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 19 August 2009, at 5:08 p.m.
      • What MET used for the XG rollout? *NM*
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 19 August 2009, at 5:14 p.m.
        • What MET used for the XG rollout?
          Neil Robins -- Wednesday, 19 August 2009, at 8:59 p.m.
        • GNU rollout confirms
          neilkaz -- Wednesday, 19 August 2009, at 11:55 p.m.
        • What MET used for the XG rollout?
          eXtreme Gammon -- Friday, 21 August 2009, at 1:33 a.m.
  • Looking at the rgb post
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 19 August 2009, at 9:18 p.m.
    • Looking at the rgb post
      Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 19 August 2009, at 9:31 p.m.
  • 3-ply RO's in the hopper
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 20 August 2009, at 12:48 p.m.
  • {3,2} RO
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 20 August 2009, at 11:25 p.m.
  • {3,3} RO
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 20 August 2009, at 11:28 p.m.
  • 3-ply RO commentary
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 20 August 2009, at 11:34 p.m.
    • 3-ply RO commentary
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 20 August 2009, at 11:48 p.m.
      • 3-ply RO commentary
        Chuck Bower -- Friday, 21 August 2009, at 2:06 p.m.
    • 3-ply RO commentary
      Timothy Chow -- Friday, 21 August 2009, at 1:43 a.m.
      • 3-ply RO commentary
        Chuck Bower -- Friday, 21 August 2009, at 2:01 p.m.
        • 3-ply RO commentary
          Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 22 August 2009, at 3:48 a.m.
          • 3-ply RO commentary
            Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 22 August 2009, at 5:59 p.m.
    • 3-ply RO commentary
      Daniel Murphy -- Saturday, 22 August 2009, at 6:18 a.m.