[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Put the match on the line?

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 26 August 2009, at 5:11 p.m.

In Response To: Put the match on the line? (Dan Pelton)

If White remembers to redouble s/he needs 18.2% (g11) cubeless game winning chances to take.

Let's see if I can get the Ward Count right... Blue -- 40 + 1 (3rd checker on 2-point) -2 (extra checker borne off) = 39. White -- 47 - 1 (extra point covered) = 46.

Kleinman: (46 - 39 - 4)^2 / (46 + 39 - 4) = 121/81 ~1.5.

1.4 is 80::20. 2.0 is 84::16. So (interpolating) 1.5 is just under 81::19.

It's worth asking if there are other factors not included. White has a potential future gap on the 5-point but a 4-point gap is often worse than a 5-point gap. These might offset.

Decision looks like a close Take, and if it's this close to a pass then surely a double.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.