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My favourite probability problem

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Friday, 28 August 2009, at 6:11 p.m.

In Response To: My favourite probability problem (Matt Cohn-Geier)

"The probability that the envelope contains the check depends on what the predictor's prediction was. However it either almost always will or almost always will not, so say either above 99% or less than 1%"

Suppose I ask you what the chance of rolling a 6 is. And you say that depends on what is rolled. It is either 0% or 100%. Not a very useful answer.

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