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My favourite probability problem

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Friday, 28 August 2009, at 8:06 p.m.

In Response To: My favourite probability problem (Stein Kulseth)

without resorting to any other measures than thinking about it (that is: no trying to peek in the envelope, no coin tossing, no hedge bets etc. etc.)

This is not in Nozick's original formulation. In fact he uses side bets as part of his argument.

You know the following facts with certainty:

Nozick only said "enormous confidence" but I imagine it is more or less the same thing.

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