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My favourite probability problem

Posted By: Tom Keith
Date: Friday, 28 August 2009, at 8:32 p.m.

In Response To: My favourite probability problem (Rich Munitz)

Suppose two friends of yours played the prediction game ahead of you.

The first friend did as you would and took the $1000 cash. In his case, the envelope was empty. (The Predictor guessed right.)

The second friend passed on the $1000. In his case, the envelope contained $1,000,000. (The Predictor guessed right again!)

Now it's your turn. What do you do?

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