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BGonline.org Forums
RO of original position and of a variant
Posted By: Timothy Chow In Response To: Oops...cube in the wrong position (Timothy Chow)
Date: Sunday, 13 September 2009, at 3:20 a.m.
It turns out that running is correct in the posted position, but if Blue's outfield checker is shifted back just one pip, then staying back is correct. It is probably too ambitious to come up with a manual calculation that gets both of these decisions correct, but getting in the ballpark ought to be possible.
Money Game
Blue to play 3-4White 25
Blue 63 Position Id: /w8AAcDutQEQAA
Match Id: UYkRAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 17/10 -0.750
0.110 0.000 0.000 - 0.890 0.000 0.000 -0.781 -0.750 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 864530033 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 6/3 6/2 -0.812 ( -0.062)
0.082 0.000 0.000 - 0.918 0.001 0.000 -0.837 -0.812 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 864530033 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 5/2 5/1 -0.841 ( -0.091)
0.069 0.000 0.000 - 0.931 0.001 0.000 -0.862 -0.841 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 864530033 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Money Game
Blue to play 3-4White 25
Blue 64 Position Id: /w8AAcDutQEgAA
Match Id: UYkRAAAAAAAA
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 6/3 6/2 -0.776
0.097 0.000 0.000 - 0.903 0.001 0.000 -0.808 -0.776 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 864043747 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 18/11 -0.796 ( -0.020)
0.090 0.000 0.000 - 0.910 0.000 0.000 -0.821 -0.796 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 864043747 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 5/2 5/1 -0.803 ( -0.027)
0.085 0.000 0.000 - 0.915 0.001 0.000 -0.832 -0.803 0.000 0.000 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 864043747 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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