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BGonline.org Forums
Which hit is better?
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: Which hit is better? (Stick)
Date: Friday, 25 September 2009, at 5:38 p.m.
When White hits back (13 rolls after 7/2* and 14 rolls after 6/1*) it seems much better to have played 7/2* since the blot left on the barpoint after 6/1* is a huge target.
When White fails to hit AND his roll includes a six (9 rolls) then it appears to me as though the advantage is in favor of 6/1*.
If White misses while entering both (14 and 13 rolls respectively?), it's not at all clear to me (OK, really depends upon exactly where the two checkers entered) -- call that a tossup. A full 2-ply analysis of these would be best....
If these observations/predictions (particularly if Sam doesn't catch me in a miscount) are correct, 7/2* looks better.
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