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BGonline.org Forums
Re: Re: Re: 1st Bad Poker Beat against Computer
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: Re: Re: 1st Bad Poker Beat against Computer (Stanley E. Richards)
Date: Wednesday, 9 May 2007, at 3:49 a.m.
Just to be clear, I meant no criticism of your posted hand history, which was whine-free and educashunal. The bad beat story was mine.
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With regard to the play of J3s: He never raised. He called 3 bets and then a 4th before the flop. In home games I used to play in, the records for biggest wins and the biggest losses were invariably achieved by the same friendly players. This particular friendly fellow may have won in this session but anyone who regularly plays J3s for 4 bets and bets out on a three-flush flop needing runner-runner T 9 (assuming no one has or makes a flush) or J J to win is a don ... my "k" key is stuck ... donator. Variance is a lovely thing. There's a discussion in rgp somewhere in which the poster expressed his astonishment at realizing, as a new player, how much higher and lower than his expected win rate his best and worst sessions turned out. He had figured that if he could win on average 2 big bets per hour then sometimes he'd win 3 or 4, sometimes he'd lose 1 or 2. He would, a lot of the time, but he hadn't figured on the frequency and importance of the hours in which he'd win 10, 20, 30, or 40 big bets or lose 10, 20 or say it ain't so 30.
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