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Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Wednesday, 7 October 2009, at 6:23 p.m.

In Response To: Blue to Play 61 (Max Urban)

I correctly predicted that the flexible plays lose a lot more gammons than 13/6, but apparently 23/22 13/7 wins just enough extra games to compensate.

Money Game
Blue to play 1-6

gnubg	143
Max Urban	168
Position Id: 2ObIIQgxD/gALA Match Id: UYkYAAAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	23/22 13/7	-0.691
			0.266 0.061 0.004 - 0.734 0.362 0.043 -0.807 -0.691 0.003 0.001 0.000 - 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.007 0.010
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 870537292 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	13/6	-0.714 ( -0.023)
			0.208 0.040 0.001 - 0.792 0.238 0.014 -0.796 -0.714 0.002 0.001 0.000 - 0.002 0.003 0.001 0.005 0.007
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 870537292 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	13/7 6/5	-0.741 ( -0.050)
			0.241 0.044 0.002 - 0.759 0.336 0.035 -0.844 -0.741 0.003 0.001 0.000 - 0.003 0.003 0.003 0.010 0.012
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 870537292 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	24/23 13/7	-0.756 ( -0.065)
			0.208 0.042 0.002 - 0.792 0.283 0.019 -0.842 -0.756 0.003 0.001 0.001 - 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.007 0.009
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 870537292 and quasi-random dice
			Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Blue to Play 61
  Max Urban -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 7:09 a.m.
  • Blue to Play 61
    Sam Pottle -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 7:40 a.m.
    • Blue to Play 61
      Max Urban -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 8:28 a.m.
      • Blue to Play 61
        Neil Robins -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 9:42 a.m.
  • Blue to Play 61
    Rich Munitz -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 11:13 a.m.
    • Blue to Play 61
      Rich Munitz -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 5:46 p.m.
      • Blue to Play 61
        neilkaz -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 6:21 p.m.
        • Blue to Play 61
          Rich Munitz -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 6:54 p.m.
      • Blue to Play 61
        Sam Pottle -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 6:41 p.m.
  • Blue to Play 61
    John O'Hagan -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 3:34 p.m.
  • Blue to Play 61
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 5:09 p.m.
    • Blue to Play 61
      Timothy Chow -- Friday, 2 October 2009, at 5:35 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 7 October 2009, at 6:23 p.m.