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3-away 7-away cube action

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 12:49 a.m.

In Response To: Cube action for a short race (Timothy Chow)

Has anyone tried Ward+Kleinman?

Ward: Blue's pipcount stays pat at 26. White gains 2 pips from the extra checker off but loses one for only four points covered vs. Blue's five. So 26::31. Now note that Blue's open 5-point is bad but not accounted for in Ward. I add one to Blue's count making it 27::31. Kleinman (diff+4)^2/(sum-4) = 64/54 is 1 + 10/54 which is just under 1.8. Linear interpolation between 1.0 (76%) and 1.4 (80%) says Blue wins 78%.

This is very close to the 77% drop/take line for moderate length races -- probably leaing towards the pass. But the adjustments aren't so solid.

Looks like clear redouble and very tough on the take/pass. Without other evidence I'll go with close pass.

R+P.

Messages In This Thread

• Cube action for a short race
  Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 5:35 p.m.
  • Let's try the Keith Count
    Jason Lee -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 5:57 p.m.
    • Let's try the Keith Count
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 8:28 p.m.
      • Let's try the Keith Count
        Jason Lee -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 8:44 p.m.
        • Let's try the Keith Count
          Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 8:58 p.m.
          • Let's try the Keith Count
            Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 10:04 p.m.
            • Let's try the Keith Count
              Jason Lee -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 12:06 a.m.
              • Let's try the Keith Count
                Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 12:14 a.m.
  • Cube action for a short race
    W Womack -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 8:47 p.m.
    • Cube action for a short race
      W Womack -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 9:06 p.m.
  • Cube action for a short race
    Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 27 October 2009, at 10:03 p.m.
    • Pipple Count
      Jason Lee -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 12:11 a.m.
      • Pipple Count
        Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 2:20 p.m.
      • Pipple Count
        Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 4:13 p.m.
  • 3-away 7-away cube action
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 12:49 a.m.
    • Daniel, did you put the hex on me? *NM*
      Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 1:06 a.m.
  • Cube action for a short race
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 4:45 p.m.