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Colony Cup 4

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 5:14 p.m.

In Response To: Colony Cup 4 (Max Urban)

Blue's takepoint is in the 42-43% neighborhood. How often does White lose the market (if ever), and by how much? 1-1 looks pretty good. 14 hits and any hit+fan looks good (although maybe not a M&M'er).

Redoubling doesn't seem like it could be wrong by much. If White loses just four s/he has 6.4% MWC. Given that gammons lower this expectation, the doubling window opens below 6.4/49 or < 13%. White must already be in the window.

I think White should redouble, but I doubt any White cube action is right/wrong by much.

Messages In This Thread

• Colony Cup 4
  Max Urban -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 6:51 a.m.
  • Colony Cup 4
    misja -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 11:50 a.m.
  • Colony Cup 4
    Keene -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 3:03 p.m.
  • Colony Cup 4
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 5:14 p.m.
  • Colony Cup 4
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 28 October 2009, at 10:38 p.m.