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Las Vegas #1

Posted By: Dan Pelton
Date: Friday, 6 November 2009, at 12:41 p.m.

In Response To: Las Vegas #1 (Jason Lee)

For Blue, 25 rolls cover the blot on the deuce(everything except 1-5, 1-6, 2-5, 2-6, 5-6 and 6-6) lots of the remaining rolls bring another builder into direct or close to direct covers, and white's board has started to crunch Even if I have to ultimately leave a shot, White's board will have deteriorated enough so that I may even be able to win a race if hit. I definitely redouble this, even knowing that I will get the auto-recube to put the match on the line.

I think White has enough to take since they still have a 4-pt board and won't continue to crunch while staying at the bar., I estimate the winning chances maybe 12-13% better than the 11% trailing 1away, 6 away Crawford.

RD/T Yay, I get to post the 1st response to the 1st position!

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