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RO TCTC

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 17 December 2009, at 11:04 p.m.

In Response To: 7-pt match cube decision (Chuck Bower)

...If you call 1.2 j.s.d. too close, that is:

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 1 (match to 7 points)

Move number 3: White on roll, cube decision?

White	152
Blue	169
Position ID: EzP4ADTg64mAAw Match ID: MAHgAAAACAAA

• White doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.0154)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.4799	(Money: +0.4568)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.7516
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.2484
3.	Double, take	+0.7362	-0.0154
Proper cube action:		No double, take (5.8%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6574 0.2063 0.0111 - 0.3426 0.0719 0.0035 +0.4799 +0.7516 Standard error 0.0012 0.0014 0.0006 - 0.0012 0.0012 0.0007 0.0033 0.0083 Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.6563 0.2075 0.0109 - 0.3437 0.0733 0.0053 +0.9813 +0.7362 Standard error 0.0013 0.0017 0.0007 - 0.0013 0.0013 0.0009 0.0077 0.0097
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2719 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 839130948 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• 7-pt match cube decision
  Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 16 December 2009, at 6:41 p.m.
  • 7-pt match cube decision
    David -- Wednesday, 16 December 2009, at 8:17 p.m.
  • 7-pt match cube decision
    Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 16 December 2009, at 9:50 p.m.
    • 7-pt match cube decision
      Joe Russell -- Thursday, 17 December 2009, at 4:23 a.m.
      • 7-pt match cube decision
        neilkaz -- Thursday, 17 December 2009, at 5:32 a.m.
  • 7-pt match cube decision
    Rich Munitz -- Thursday, 17 December 2009, at 3:11 a.m.
  • 7-pt match cube decision
    Joe Russell -- Thursday, 17 December 2009, at 3:33 a.m.
  • 7-pt match cube decision
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 17 December 2009, at 5:14 a.m.
  • RO TCTC
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 17 December 2009, at 11:04 p.m.