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Its gone South.

Posted By: Stick
Date: Sunday, 20 December 2009, at 1:28 p.m.

In Response To: Its gone South. (Keene)

There was much debate at the time but I don't think anyone watching figured out your AtS takepoint or had any real reference.

DP is -6 -8 for 62%
DTL is -6 -6 for 50%
DTW is -2 -10 for 93%

You're risking 12% to gain 31% giving you a raw TP of almost 28%. Your recube vig is worth next to nothing in this position.

The easiest reference position that comes to me is 5 roll v. 5 roll position which would have the underdog right on the above quoted raw TP of 28%. From there it's a matter of determining who is worse off and that will give you the theoretical proper decision.

Bot actions be damned, you're playing Neil and you admit he plays better than you. By how much on average, I don't know, that's for you to tell us but I feel your best chances of winning are taking this cube. You can load up one of the Jacob's Elo charts and see too.

RD/T AtO

Stick

Messages In This Thread

• Its gone South.
  Keene -- Sunday, 20 December 2009, at 4:38 a.m.
  • Its gone South.
    John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 20 December 2009, at 5:07 a.m.
    • Its gone South.
      Stick -- Sunday, 20 December 2009, at 1:18 p.m.
      • Its gone South.
        John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 20 December 2009, at 4:18 p.m.
  • Its gone South.
    Stick -- Sunday, 20 December 2009, at 1:28 p.m.
    • Its gone South.
      Nack Ballard -- Sunday, 20 December 2009, at 3:33 p.m.
      • Some Bot Info
        Stick -- Sunday, 20 December 2009, at 4:06 p.m.
  • Its gone South. ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Wednesday, 23 December 2009, at 4:27 a.m.
    • Its gone South. ROLLOUT
      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 23 December 2009, at 5:08 a.m.
    • Its gone South. ROLLOUT
      Stick -- Wednesday, 23 December 2009, at 10:18 a.m.