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BGonline.org Forums
rollout, not that i agree
Posted By: Stick In Response To: rollout, not that i agree (Adam Versaw)
Date: Sunday, 20 December 2009, at 2:16 p.m.
I would recommend showing the results as EMG and not MWC. Also, with positions like this (backgames in general), a huge move filter is preferable. Lastly, I never truncate personally even though it has its uses but 11 moves from now in this game you may have made little progress beyond the position you're looking at, esp. if your 'slot the 2pt and recirculate' idea works out. Did you also do this cubeless?
Even if all of that was to my druthers I'm still very skeptical on bot rollouts for backgames and would be more inclined to go with my intuition or the advice of expert players over what the bot says. Still, they're worth listening to and trying to figure out what they think is going on, they could be right.
I have not taken the time to analyze this problem but what jumps out at me immediately in favor of making the 2pt is your opponent has damn good timing after your 44 roll. Sure, you may try to slot the 2 and recirculate but the only way that'll happen is if your opponent rolls a bad entering 2 otherwise he will forgo hitting, simply hop out, build his board, and wait on you to come to him.
Stick
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