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OLM Sa 12/26/09

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Saturday, 26 December 2009, at 2:13 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Sa 12/26/09 (Jason Lee)

Magriel's Safe-vs-Bold criteria indicate 13/2 is the right play. That's ugly enough that we should look at alternatives:

Running off the anchor -- either 21/10 or 21/15, 21/16. That seems like an invitation to get pounded. White's three point homeboard is adequate. XG won't hesitate to give up the either the anchor or the midpoint in order to hit. Tons of shots and two checkers to find safe haven. I don't see it.

"When in doubt, hit." 13/7, 6/1*. 19 return shots. Gives us the opportunity to push that blot forward in our board. Good diversity. But... did I say 19 shots?

Both sides are suffering a bit from inflexibility. That often means "don't be the first to give opp the opportunity to diversify with a hit".

I'll settle for first instinct: 13/2.

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