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Quick XG 4 ply RO of Trice's pos.

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 6 January 2010, at 4:30 p.m.

In Response To: Tokyo Permabox #7 - Cube (Timothy Chow)

Recubing here is good, since Blue isn't closed out yet (he'd not have a proper recube if he was, although he'd be a nice fav. even with White holding the cube). Blue can also win some juicy G's when he escapes.




is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 124
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 29
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-Da-----a---b----b-cbbb--A:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 71.99% (G: 8.29% B: 1.10%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 28.01% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 72.19% (G: 7.97% B: 1.16%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 27.81% (G: 0.00% B: 0.00%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.534
Redouble:+1.070
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.840 (-0.037)
Redouble/Take:+0.877
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.123)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1617 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.009 (+0.831...+0.850)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.011 (+0.866...+0.888)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 13 minutes 13 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.11

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