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BGonline.org Forums
Re: -2/-5 race cube question
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: Re: -2/-5 race cube question (Stick)
Date: Tuesday, 22 May 2007, at 10:42 p.m.
2+0+0+0 = 4
Really?
96+2 = 98
Nice recovery! (Is this a counterexample of the "two wrongs don't make a right" axiom?)
A couple more algorithm results: 10%+-2 pips says: Double (but no Redouble), Take for $-play. Kleinman Count (without any distribution adjustment) and using my conversion to % cubeless-gwc gives Blue 72% chances of winning the game -- borderline $-double (but not a redouble).
Having seen the rollouts it seems that the penalty for White's flawed distribution (part of the Keith Count, among others) is indeed an important part of the correct calculation.
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