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OLM We 01/13/10

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 14 January 2010, at 3:01 p.m.

In Response To: OLM We 01/13/10 (Jason Lee)

Today's decision appears to have a similar theme compared to Tuesday's -- do we try to max our gammon chances or try to use our cube leverage?

The differences are that we now can put TWO checkers up (helps gammons) but also we haven't escaped White's board (hurts overall winning chances).

Regardless, the first two deuces are the same: 25/23, 13/11*. Although in super GG mode one might decide not to cover the 11-point, I don't think that is right here so 13/11*(2) goes along with our forced entry.

That leaves the last deuce for either 4/2* (gammonish) or 6/4 (winnish).

On review, I see that 13/11*/9/7 is also a candidate, which bring another builder=attacker for the 2-point. However, our next six die will likely be used to escape White's homeboard so effectively (compared to 6/4) that still only leaves us with two builders for the 2-point. I think making+holding the 11-point is better.

Based upon the evals posted here by Jason (and also an RO I've started), last time it wasn't close, so this time I don't think we've gained enough G chances to trade with wins/losses, either.

25/23, 13/11*(2), 6/4.

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