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Not so random 54

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Thursday, 14 January 2010, at 6:06 p.m.

In Response To: Not so random 54 (Matt Cohn-Geier)

I think Black has painted himself in a corner. But, must keep playing...

Obviously Black's flexibility is terrible (and whether you like it called this or not, it's TMP).

12/3 puts off the decision for just one roll. I don't like that.

21/12 buys more time, usually, but non-doublet combos of {1,2,4} don't look so hot. Is it enough time? I'm not sure.

12/8, 21/16 is flexible and will remain flexible longer than the above alternatives, but two blots have to be cleaned up soon, which may not be so easy.

8/3, 8/4 is flexible in some ways, but those two new spares have limited range and they'd be much better kept for making the 6-point. The 8-point may not go well with the 2-point but it is a good landing spot given White's nearby pseudo-anchor.

Maybe overplaying this, but I'm going with the flexible 21/16, 12/8. I just don't think 21/12 works often enough.

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