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I thought this would be close

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Monday, 15 February 2010, at 1:27 p.m.

In Response To: I thought this would be close (Bob Koca)

Using Kleinman:

Neil's position -- KC = 27^2/267 ~ 27*27/[800/3] = 9*9*9*3/800 = 2187/800 ~2.73

UBK's (Kit's) position -- KC = 24^2/242 ~24*(24/240)~2.4

KC of 2 means leader wins 84% of pure races. KC of 3 means leader wins 89%. Interpolating gives 87.5% GWC vs. 86% GWC.

Messages In This Thread

• I thought this would be close
  neilkaz -- Monday, 15 February 2010, at 3:55 a.m.
  • I thought this would be close
    David -- Monday, 15 February 2010, at 4:43 a.m.
    • I thought this would be close
      Stick -- Monday, 15 February 2010, at 9:51 a.m.
  • I thought this would be close
    Bill Riles -- Monday, 15 February 2010, at 5:00 a.m.
  • I thought this would be close
    Bob Koca -- Monday, 15 February 2010, at 5:32 a.m.
    • I thought this would be close
      Stick -- Monday, 15 February 2010, at 9:46 a.m.
      • I thought this would be close
        Bob Koca -- Monday, 15 February 2010, at 10:17 a.m.
    • I thought this would be close
      Chuck Bower -- Monday, 15 February 2010, at 1:27 p.m.
      • (intended as response to Stick's post below) *NM*
        Chuck Bower -- Monday, 15 February 2010, at 1:35 p.m.
  • I thought this would be close
    Stick -- Monday, 15 February 2010, at 9:53 a.m.
  • I thought this would be close
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 15 February 2010, at 5:36 p.m.
  • I thought this would be close
    Nack Ballard -- Monday, 15 February 2010, at 6:53 p.m.
    • I thought this would be close
      johnk -- Monday, 15 February 2010, at 11:25 p.m.
  • Thoughts OTB and RO
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 16 February 2010, at 1:24 a.m.
    • A couple words about my choice of title.
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 16 February 2010, at 1:47 a.m.