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Hit or consolidate?

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Saturday, 6 March 2010, at 4:50 p.m.

In Response To: Hit or consolidate? (Timothy Chow)

I see three plays:

25/24, 13/10 -- leaves only one blot (indirect shots) but doesn't hamper opp much, and in particular makes an anchor that is efficiently blocked.

25/22, 24/23* -- maintains five blots scattered around the board, but has the usual value of hits, meaning taking away half of opp's roll and (for now) grabbing a solid race advantage.

25/22, 11/10 -- tweener play solidifies the outfield and broken 4-prime (or is this called a "broken 5-prime"?), still leaves direct aces on the midpoint plus split, attackable blots in opp's homeboard.

Typically when you hit and leave blots, you do well vs. opp's singlet rolls but pay the price on entering doublets. However, if you look at how those doublets play when you don't hit, often it's not a big swing. (Rich has mentioned this on more than one occasion.) I think that is the case here.

25/22, 24/23*.

Messages In This Thread

• Hit or consolidate?
  Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 6 March 2010, at 3:05 a.m.
  • Hit or consolidate?
    Chase -- Saturday, 6 March 2010, at 3:38 a.m.
  • Hit or consolidate?
    Martin -- Saturday, 6 March 2010, at 1:46 p.m.
  • Hit or consolidate?
    Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 6 March 2010, at 4:50 p.m.
  • Rollout: Hit or consolidate?
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 7 March 2010, at 7:38 p.m.
    • Rollout: Hit or consolidate?
      Chase -- Sunday, 7 March 2010, at 9:37 p.m.
      • Rollout: Hit or consolidate?
        Timothy Chow -- Monday, 8 March 2010, at 1:00 a.m.
        • Rollout: Hit or consolidate?
          Chase -- Monday, 8 March 2010, at 5:26 a.m.
    • Rollout: Hit or consolidate?
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 8 March 2010, at 1:46 a.m.