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match cube: -2, -3

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Monday, 8 March 2010, at 12:37 a.m.

In Response To: match cube: -2, -3 (christian munk-christensen)

Pass for 50% MeQ. Take and win for 100%; take and lose simple for 32% MeQ. Take and lose G for 0%. Gammon loss fraction? 20% feels about right to me. So prorated, the loss is 26% MeQ. Risk 24% out of 74%. White's takepoint is about 32%. Does he have it?

Down 37 pips means (m/l) White must hit to win, and even that scenario (hitting) doesn't necessarily lead to a win. I would pass, which makes the double (for me) a no-brainer.

D+P.

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