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date, reference, more info

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Sunday, 28 March 2010, at 1:39 p.m.

In Response To: Kit's source data (Chase)

From Inside Backgammon vol. 2, #2 (Mar-Apr 1992), pp 4-8 article titled "Inside the Data Base: Everything You Always Wanted to Know About Match Equities", Kit says:

Back around 1980, I first attempted to construct a decent match equity table.

He combined that table with two others, by Robertie and Kleinman, then ...published the first match equity table in Backgammon Times in 1981.

Now Kit compares that (8-point) MET with 3025 matchscore+result pairs from the Heinrich database and concluded that a new MET was called for because the original gave the match leader too many MWC's.

So, back to the drawing board. Using these results to give me a likely distribution at various scores, I rewrote the computer program to generate new match equity figures.

And thus resulted the famous Woolsey(-Heinrich) MET.

Messages In This Thread

• Rockwell/Kazaross versus Woolsey
  Ray Kershaw -- Saturday, 27 March 2010, at 10:28 a.m.
  • Rockwell/Kazaross versus Woolsey
    Phil Simborg -- Saturday, 27 March 2010, at 11:55 a.m.
  • Kit's source data
    mfic -- Sunday, 28 March 2010, at 2:52 a.m.
    • Kit's source data
      Rich Munitz -- Sunday, 28 March 2010, at 5:22 a.m.
      • Kit's source data
        Chase -- Sunday, 28 March 2010, at 5:56 a.m.
        • date, reference, more info
          Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 28 March 2010, at 1:39 p.m.
      • Kit's source data
        Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 28 March 2010, at 2:32 p.m.
        • Kit's source data
          Tom Keith -- Sunday, 28 March 2010, at 4:13 p.m.
          • Kit's source data
            Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 28 March 2010, at 5:20 p.m.