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BGonline.org Forums
Kazaross/Rockwell MET Formulas
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: Kazaross/Rockwell MET Formulas (Phil Simborg)
Date: Wednesday, 31 March 2010, at 4:10 p.m.
In answer to your point No. 4, I believe all top open players know their take points and POG and that of their opponents for most scores and most low open players do not, and that's one of the reasons for the difference in their skill.
Phil, I'm not sure, but I think you mean that top players have a far greater facility with using a match equity table -- you recommend that all players use "the more accurate MET" -- than lesser players do. Agreed, but my comment was intended to have a different focus.
Ray asked, to paraphrase, why use "the more accurate MET" generated by a top-notch bot playing itself instead of, say, the Woolsey MET, thinking that it might be more accurate against real opponents?
So I'm wondering this: if they weren't to use Kazaross/Rockwell, how many open players could accurately build a personal MET that would be more accurate against, say, the average open real-life competitor?
For example, a simple one: a key point in any MET is match winning chances trailing 2-away 1-away Crawford. Kazaraoss/Rockwell puts this at 32%. But who really knows their own personal MWC in open competition at -2,-1 Crawford?
And against whom? It occurs to me that yet another reason to use "the more accurate MET" is that to dismiss it for not reflecting real-life competition would mean, really, to have to substitute an indefinite numbers of METs, since one's own personal MET would be different, depending on who one happens to be playing at the moment.
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