Huge for making the 234 backgame which isn't all that hard to time for a while and can really force the opp to missplace checkers with the wrong large rolls. Once time lstarts to look shaky, often the 4 anchor can be abandonned.
          
    
         
 |  is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 124 | Money session
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 212
score: 0
 is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---AB-C---a-cBa--cabcC-CaA:0:0:1:13:0:0:3:0:10 |
| to play 13 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/22 23/22 | eq: -0.205 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.65% (G:10.10% B:0.60%)
51.35% (G:26.67% B:1.81%) | Conf: ± 0.016 (-0.221...-0.189)
Duration: 7 hours 46 minutes |
|
| 2. | Rollout2 | Bar/24* 21/18* | eq: -0.446 (-0.241) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 41.45% (G:10.29% B:0.77%)
58.55% (G:25.42% B:2.09%) | Conf: ± 0.015 (-0.461...-0.431)
Duration: 15 hours 18 minutes |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | Bar/24* 6/3 | eq: -0.609 (-0.404) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 37.92% (G:9.88% B:0.71%)
62.08% (G:27.13% B:2.20%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | Bar/24* 13/10* | eq: -0.622 (-0.417) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 37.95% (G:9.90% B:0.74%)
62.05% (G:29.47% B:3.02%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | Bar/22 6/5 | eq: -0.699 (-0.494) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.03% (G:6.71% B:0.31%)
57.97% (G:35.41% B:3.52%) | |
|
| |
1 4207 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: Random
Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
2 4203 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: Random
Moves and cube decisions: 4 ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.13
I will spend an hour or so doing a 3 ply RO of the weaker 3 plays just to see if any gain a lot and if one becomes a contender I will post and put it thru 4 ply. This is what XG 4 ply eval has to say and note that it doesn't seem "out to lunch" here.
| is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 124 | Money session
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 212
score: 0
is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---AB-C---a-cBa--cabcC-CaA:0:0:1:13:0:0:3:0:10 |
| to play 13 |
| 1. | 4 ply | Bar/22 23/22 | eq: -0.193 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 49.47% (G:9.70% B:0.40%)
50.53% (G:27.04% B:2.58%) | |
|
| 2. | 4 ply | Bar/24* 21/18* | eq: -0.474 (-0.281) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 40.87% (G:10.74% B:0.73%)
59.13% (G:26.44% B:2.54%) | |
|
| 3. | 4 ply | Bar/24* 13/10* | eq: -0.606 (-0.414) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 37.99% (G:10.78% B:0.83%)
62.01% (G:29.67% B:3.22%) | |
|
| 4. | 4 ply | Bar/24* 6/3 | eq: -0.633 (-0.440) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 37.55% (G:9.98% B:0.67%)
62.45% (G:28.53% B:2.54%) | |
|
| 5. | 4 ply | Bar/22 6/5 | eq: -0.665 (-0.472) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 41.63% (G:7.50% B:0.27%)
58.37% (G:35.08% B:3.37%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.13