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Woolsey vs O'Hagan #1 Rollout Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Thursday, 15 April 2010, at 5:02 p.m.

In Response To: Vegas SuperJackpot Woolsey vs O'Hagan #1 (Paul Weaver)

I am posting the money rollout first and the match-score rollout second.





is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 149
Money session
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 131
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=-b-B-BCBA---bCb--bBdb-a---:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 74.33% (G: 23.67% B: 1.43%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.67% (G: 5.75% B: 0.21%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.94% (G: 21.89% B: 1.54%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.06% (G: 5.44% B: 0.29%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.487
Double:+1.352
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.943 (-0.057)
Double/Take:+1.158 (+0.158)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.014 (+0.929...+0.956)
Confidence Double: ± 0.025 (+1.133...+1.182)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 4 hours 58 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.12





is Player 2

score: 6
pip: 149
15 point match
pip: 131
score: 10

is Player 1
XGID=-b-B-BCBA---bCb--bBdb-a---:0:0:1:00:10:6:0:15:10
on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 74.81% (G: 22.34% B: 1.82%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.19% (G: 5.63% B: 0.25%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.65% (G: 23.24% B: 2.49%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.35% (G: 5.68% B: 0.30%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.680
Double:+1.316
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.889 (-0.025)
Double/Take:+0.914
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.086)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double: ± 0.022 (+0.867...+0.911)
Confidence Double: ± 0.029 (+0.885...+0.943)
Double Decision confidence: 91.4%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 5 hours 05 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.12, MET: eXtremeGammon

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