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From Kit's OLM ROLLOUT data

Posted By: Ian Shaw
Date: Saturday, 8 May 2010, at 6:31 p.m.

In Response To: From Kit's OLM (Ian Shaw)

Igmorance being no excuse, I put together some quick 0-ply rollouts to get an idea of how much we stand to gain by trapping,

Closing two out looks better than leaving White on the ace and picking up the third man.

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Two Closed Out

White62


'6X ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '

2O2O2O2O3O3O1O ' ' ' ' '

Blue60

Position ID: fgAAwLbtLgAAAA Match ID: cIkoAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 R 7/4 +0.879
0.9400.0000.000-0.0600.0000.000 +0.879 +0.879
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0000.000 0.002 0.002

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

One Closed Out

White38


1X6X ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '

2O2O2O2O3O3O1O ' ' ' ' '

Blue60

Position ID: /QAAgLbtLgAAAA Match ID: cIkoAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 R 7/4 +0.307
0.6540.0000.000-0.3460.0000.000 +0.307 +0.307
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0000.000 0.002 0.002

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Two on the Ace

White60


'6X ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '

2X2O2O3O4O4O ' ' ' ' ' '

Blue66

Position ID: fgAAYGz3HgAAAA Match ID: cIkoAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 6/3 +0.547
0.7740.0000.000-0.2260.0010.000 +0.547 +0.547
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0000.000 0.003 0.003

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0 (match to 1 point, post-Crawford play)

Three on the Ace

White82


'5X ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' ' '

3X2O2O3O4O4O ' ' ' ' ' '

Blue66

Position ID: PgAAcGz3HgAAAA Match ID: cIkoAAAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
• 1 R 6/3 +0.743
0.8710.0000.000-0.1290.0000.000 +0.743 +0.743
0.0010.0000.000-0.0010.0000.000 0.003 0.003

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